- Our purpose is to provide information about upcoming character releases to help Travelers plan ahead, due to how difficult and expensive pull currency is to save and obtain.- We have a separate website for non-leak-related guides and resources.- The SYP Team consists of two admins (A.Q. and I.T.) and a small, wonderful team of volunteer translators we'd be nowhere without.- We are proud to have been the first group dedicated to aggregating and tracking the reliability of banner-related leaks in a single, easy-to-reference place. Since we started, we have built and continue to maintain a Leaks Archive on Discord that tracks reliable leaks across EN, CN, and RUS sources.- Should we have reliable intel to share, we now sometimes leak character-related information at SpendYourPrimos.- We avoid spoilers as best we can, but light spoilers for the existence of future characters/events/skins/etc. are necessary to help create banner timelines.- The best we can provide is what trusted sources currently believe to be true. Every aspect is subject to change, every source is subject to being incorrect.
Note: The following links will open new tabs, either to our secondary Carrd or to Google Docs.
Background Animation Render by Desk-kun.
The SYP Commandments1. Never pull without a plan.2. Always plan for worst case scenario.3. Waifu/Husbando > Meta, but every character also deserves to be balanced and worth your investment.4. Your mental and financial well-being is more important than a game.5. "Building pity" is a myth invented by the paper-handed. Never pull unless you're okay getting the rate-up 5✰.
As we hope our work (and the even harder work of others) will one day no longer be needed, we ask for the implementation of proper roadmaps and release calendars on every official survey. To support us, please consider doing the same. - SYP Team
Note: This is a list of resources we ourselves frequent. Aside from our own guide(s), we are not personally affiliated with any of the creators listed, and a creator being listed here should not be interpreted as a sign of their endorsement of us.
Databases
HoneyHunter - https://genshin.honeyhunterworld.com
Project Amber - https://ambr.top/en
Project Celestia - https://www.projectcelestia.comGenshin Impact Quest Archive - https://www.youtube.com/c/GenshinImpactQuestArchive/videosKhaenri'ah Lore Library & Database - https://khaenriah.com/library
Beginner's Guide to Genshin Lore - https://khaenriah.com/beginners
Useful Tools
[Schedule] 2023 Version Update Calendar (by /u/izzykuroneko)[Theorycrafting] GI Helper Team's Character Builds (Beginner-friendly)
[Theorycrafting] KQM Character Guide Database
[Theorycrafting] GI Damage Calculator
[Theorycrafting] Genshin Optimizer (Advanced)[All-Purpose Tracking] Genshin Center
[Wish Tracking] Paimon.moe[Showcase Builder] Shinshin.moe (Requires Screenshots)
[Showcase Builder] Enka.Network (UID-Generated)
Historical Tracking
[Banners] Character/Banner History Sheet (by sakuno#[email protected])
[Banners] Genshin Banner Interval Sheet (by SYP)[Freemogems] Genshin Bookkeeping (by /u/sectoidfodder)
[Freemogems] Patch Primo Income (by /u/Saber1202)
Last Updated: March 2nd, 2023-TL;DR:Patch 3.6 - April 12th (est.)
- Baizhu (5✰) release (Dendro Catalyst, Tall Male)
- Kaveh (4✰) release (Dendro Claymore, Tall Male)Speculated 3.6 Rerun Possibilities: Nahida; Nilou; Eula; Wanderer; GanyuPatch 3.7 - May 24th (est.)
- Momoka (4✰) release (Dendro Sword, Short Female)Speculated 3.7 Rerun Possibilities: Inazuman Character(s), alongside Inazuma eventPatch 3.8 - July 5th (est.)Speculated 3.8 Rerun Possibilities: Klee (w/ new leaked skin)
-This timeline is based on datamines and extremely reliable sources. Sources for all leaks are listed in detail at:
https://saveyourprimos.carrd.co/#sources本时间线仅采用解包内容和极可靠的爆料。所有情报来源陈列在
https://saveyourprimos.carrd.co/#sources
#Upcoming Sources
Misc.
- [Reliable - Ubatcha] 09/02: Version 3.x currently goes up to 3.8. This is subject to change.Reruns
(Please note that if a character is not listed here, we have no reliable leaks about when their rerun is happening.)
Baizhu
- 5☆ Dendro Catalyst, Tall Male.
- [Reliable - Uncle Lu] 09/24: Baizhu releases in 3.6.
- [Reliable - Uncle Lu] 09/02: There are no new 5☆ characters in 3.4. This debunks the speculation of a Lantern Rite release.
- [Reliable - HXG] 07/10: Confirmed for 5☆ rarity.
- [Reliable - Mero] 07/03: Baizhu is a Catalyst user.
- (Potentially Outdated) Originally datamined as a Catalyst user.
- [Reliable - Ubatcha] 06/11: Some lore relating to Changsheng (Baizhu's snake) in the "near future."
- (Old) He will be playable, due to the existence of a unique model (explanation) and avatar data.Kaveh
- Dendro Claymore, Tall Male.
- [Reliable - Ubatcha] 10/22: Kaveh is a Claymore wielder.
- [Datamined - Project Celestia] 09/28: Kaveh will have a cameo in 3.2. (Please note he will likely not be playable at this time.)
- [SYP] 09/09: Kaveh appearance details.
- [SYP] 09/08: Kaveh is Dendro.
- [Reliable - Ubatcha] 07/18: Ubatcha says the name is spelled "Kaveh."
- [Reliable - BLANK] 07/18: A character named Kavi confirmed playable.
Momoka ("Inazuma Catgirl")
- 4✰ Dendro Sword, Short Female.
- Previously (incorrectly) reported as Geo user.
- (WIP)
"Fontaine" Lineup LeakNotes
- The following leaks pertain to this leaked image of a character lineup.
- Not all characters are from Fontaine.
- Any images within this section have been verified by us at SYP as authentic, but please note that these leaks mostly consist of concept artwork and that final designs are heavily STC.Hydro Archon / Focalors
- (Fontaine) 5☆ Hydro, Short Female.
- [Reliable - HXG] Focalors is not Claymore.
- [Reliable - HXG] 01/08/23: The blue-white hair short female character previously leaked has been confirmed by HXG to be the Hydro Archon, Focalors.
- Leaked Image 1 || Leaked Image 2Chief Justice Neuvillette
- (Fontaine) Tall Male.
- [Reliable - HXG] 01/08/23: The tall male we know of has been confirmed by HXG to be Chief Justice Neuvillette.
- Leaked Image 1"Captain R"
- (Mondstadt) Tall Female. Possibly a Sword user (see Leaked Image 3).
- [Reliable - Mero] 01/08/23: "Captain R" is implied to be from Mondstadt.
- Leaked Image 1 || Leaked Image 2 || Leaked Image 3
- Please note that, to date, we at SYP have three four nine concept designs for this character. We do not know which design will be finalized.Blonde Woman, Yellow Dress - Name Unknown
- (Nation Unknown) Tall Female.
- Leaked Image 1Pink-haired Young Woman, Red Outfit - Name Unknown
- (Mondstadt) Short Female.
- [Reliable - Mero] 01/08/23: She is implied to be from Mondstadt.
Dottore
- Claymore, Tall Male.
- [Reliable - Ubatcha] 10/23: Dottore is labelled as Claymore. BLANK has further confirmed this leak.
- [SYP] 07/08: Dottore details. (Tweet 1; Tweet 2)
- [Reliable - HXG] 06/21: In a now-deleted Tweet, HXG claims Dottore will be playable. 06/25: We (SYP) followed up to report high confidence in this intel, but are not 100% sure ourselves.Unnamed New Character
- [Reliable - Ubatcha] 10/23: Ubatcha has listed an unnamed new character slated for release in 3.6. (This information would have come from the 4.0 leak flood.)Varka
- [Reliable - Ubatcha] 06/11: Some lore relating to Varka in the "near future." Notes that this does not indicate his release.
- [Unreliable/Inconsistent - 15-Points] Claims Varka is a playable character who will see his banner during the release of The Dandelion Sea (Mondstadt DLC). No timeline mentioned.Djajeet
- [Reliable - Auntie Touching Fish] [March] "Djajeet" is a playable male character. No other details provided.Capitano
- [Reliable - Ubatcha] 07/07: Capitano is officially a named Harbinger.
- [Reliable - Auntie Touching Fish] [March] "Capitano," a Harbinger, has a high chance of being playable, but won't get a banner any time soon.Columbina (Damselette)
- [SYP] 07/08: Damselette details. "uses the short female model."
- [Reliable - Ubatcha] 07/07: Damselette is officially a named Harbinger.Pantalone (Regrator)
- [SYP] 07/08: Regrator details. "should use the tall male model."
- [Reliable - Ubatcha] 07/07: Regrator is officially a named Harbinger.Sandrone (Marionette)
- [SYP] 07/08: Marionette details. "likely uses the tall female model."
- [Reliable - Ubatcha] 07/07: Marionette is officially a named Harbinger.Arlecchino (The Knave)
- [SYP] 07/11: Arlecchino details. (Unmentioned, but should use the tall female model.)[Reliable] Auntie "Touching Fish" Collection
- Please visit her channel in our Leaks Archive server for a complete timeline / track record.
- Names provided: Nafs, Tighnari, Dori, Nahida, Djajeet, Ikhfa, Layla, Soutine
- [March] "Djajeet" is a playable male character. No other details provided.
- [March] "Capitano," a Harbinger, has a high chance of being playable, but won't get a banner any time soon.
- [May] “妮露” (Nilou) is a playable character. No other details provided.
- [May] Apart from Scaramouche, Baizhu, and Cyno, knows of two other named Sumeru male characters (rarity unknown). There's probably another one who's a Fatui Harbinger (not sure).Teyvat Chapter Storyline Preview Debut Characters
- Dainsleif; Lyney and Lynette (Fontaine); Iansan (Natlan); Pulcinella (Snezhnaya)
- It is safe to assume they will all be playable, however we doubt we will have much information before we arrive at their respective Acts within the game.
- With the debut of the Teyvat Chapter Interlude Teaser, there are now doubts as to Pulcinella's playability due to the fact he would require a new model.Unconfirmed Characters
The following characters have not been confirmed playable, and will be moved to their own section above if we learn anything new:
- Guizhong; Cloud Retainer (via 3.4 Lantern Rite Cutscene)
- Pierro (The Jester); Signora (The Fair Lady)
- Bosacius; any Yakshas aside from Xiao
- Skirk; Alice; Tomo / Kazuha's Friend; Unnamed Older Brother of Xingqiu; Unnamed Young Woman from Moonchase Cutscene (who is likely Madame Ping); any other character not listed here
( Archived Entries )
Information archived from our Upcoming page.Sections are moved here shortly after banners are officially confirmed.Sections are listed in chronological order.-
Use Ctrl + F to locate leakers/characters by name.
( Live Entries Page )
Misc- [Confirmed] [Reliable - Uncle Chasm] 08/07: Uncle Chasm has confirmed the long-standing rumor that 3.x banners will be shortened, claiming 3.0, 3.1, and 3.2 will each be shorted by one week.
- [Confirmed] [Reliable - Uncle Chasm] 07/29: Tighnari will be added to the Standard pool after his rate-up in in 3.0.
- [Debunked] [Reliable - Uncle Lu] 09/02: There are no new 5✰ releases in 3.4. 11/08: Uncle Lu has updated this claim to Alhaitham releasing in 3.4.Reruns
(Please note that if a character is not listed here, we have no reliable leaks about when their rerun is happening.)- [Reliable - Uncle Lu] 11/08: 3.3 First Half: Itto Rerun
- [Reliable - Uncle Lu] 11/06: 3.3 Second Half: Raiden Rerun
- [Reliable - Uncle Lu] 11/09: 3.3 Second Half: Ayato Rerun
- [Reliable - Uncle Lu] 11/09: 3.4 (order not provided): Hu Tao Rerun
- [Confirmed] [Reliable] 12/17: 3.4 First Half: Xiao Rerun; 3.4 Second Half: Hu Tao Rerun + Yelan Rerun
- [Confirmed] [Reliable] 12/16: 3.4 Second Half: Hu Tao RerunWeapons- [Confirmed] [Mia] A trusted source speculates a Vortex Vanquisher rerun with Zhongli's rerun, which she implied was "coming soon." This was posted late October / early November.
- [Confirmed] [Mia] A trusted source has datamined the first weapons banner of 2.4--the first of its kind, double rate-up of the same weapon type: Calamity Queller + Primordial Jade Winged-Spear
- [Confirmed] [Mia] A new source predicts Freedom-Sworn and Song of Broken Pines as the 2.3 weapon banner. This banner leak has been considered reliable by WFP, and has since been confirmed by Lumie. (Original post)
- [Confirmed] Redhorn Stonethresher - 5✰ Claymore. Predicted to be on 2.3 Weapon Banner, alongside Itto. Officially confirmed as of 11/11.
- [Confirmed] Cinnabar Spindle - 4✰ Sword. Predicted to be 2.3 Event Exclusive reward. Officially confirmed as of 11/11.
- [Confirmed] [Ubatcha - Questionable] One trusted source supports the possibility of Raiden receiving a rerun in 2.5 due to story/plot reasons.
- [Confirmed] [Datamined - 2.5] Raiden is speculated to rerun during 2.5 as she is receiving a Story Quest, along with some Very Important Plot Developments. Spiral Abyss Floor 11's Leyline Disorder also gives a 60% Electro Damage Bonus.
- [Confirmed] [Datamined - 2.5] Kokomi is also speculated to rerun during 2.5. She is the only playable character who makes an appearance during the upcoming Enkanomiya-centric event in 2.5. The free event weapon matches her aesthetic (although the weapon's substat and passive don't appear tailored to her kit). Spiral Abyss Floor 11's Leyline Disorder also gives a 30% Healing Bonus. Oddly enough, despite the evidence, no reliable leakers have yet confirmed Kokomi for 2.5, which is why she is left out of the tl;dr list at the top of the page.
- [Confirmed] [Sukuna] A trusted source posted "1=Y 2=R+K" in assumed reference to the 2.5 banners. They have declined to answer any further questions about the leak.
- [False] [Unverified - NoLifeguard] A new unverified source claims an old unreleased datamined Sword (filename "pillars.") will see a release in 2.6.
- [Confirmed] [Datamined - 2.5] Lumie released the 4star + Weapon Banner rate-ups for the first half of 2.5.
- [Datamined - Project Celestia] The Kirin Bow's ascension materials have been updated to mats from upcoming 2.6 enemies. What is believed to be a Description has also been found.
- [Datamined] Haran Geppaku Futsu, Ayato's Signature Weapon. [Project Amber Entry]
- [Reliable - Lumie] A trusted source has revealed Haran/Elegy for the first half of 2.6.Reruns- [Confirmed] [Reliable - Uncle Lu] 09/28: 3.2 First Half: Yoimiya; Thundering Pulse
- [Confirmed] [Reliable - Uncle Lu] 09/30: 3.2 Second Half: Childe + Yae; Polar Star + Kagura's Verity
- [Confirmed] [Reliable - Uncle Chasm] 06/27: 3.0 - Zhongli + Ganyu Reruns. 08/07: Updated claims to first half Zhongli + Tighnari, second half Ganyu + Kokomi.
- [Confirmed] [Reliable - Uncle Y] 07/21: 2.8 Second Half - Bennett, Yun Jin, Xinyan will be the 4✰ Rate-ups.
- [Confirmed] [Datamined] 07/05: Thoma, Ningguang, Heizou will be the 4✰ Rate-ups in 2.8 First Half. 07/07: This was later confirmed by Ubatcha.
- [Confirmed] [Datamined] 06/17: 2.8 First Half - Klee + Kazuha Rerun, Heizou Release
- [Confirmed] [Reliable - Uncle Y] 06/16: 2.8 - Yoimiya Rerun
- [Debunked] [Ubatcha - Questionable] One trusted source supports the possibility of Kazuha receiving a rerun in 2.5 or 2.6. 12/28: This source has followed-up with the possibility of Kazuha for 2.5.
- [Confirmed] [Reliable - Lumie] A trusted source has revealed Ayato/Venti for the first half of 2.6.
- [Confirmed] [Reliable - Ubatcha] A trusted source has revealed Ayaka solo rerun for the second half of 2.6.
- 2.6 Rerun Claims:[Confirmed] Uncle Chasm (Unverified) (reported by MrX) - Ayaka/Venti
[Debunked] BLANK (Unverified) - Yoimiya/Ayaka
[Debunked] NoLifeguard (Unverified) - Kazuha/Venti
[Debunked] Ubatcha (Questionable) - Yoimiya, Kazuha
[Debunked] TZTZ (2.6 earliest, pre-3.0 latest) - Kazuha
[Debunked] TSL (Unverified) - Ayaka/Kazuha, second half; claimed post-Lumie Ayato/Venti reveal- [Speculation] Alleged!DD has claimed Golden Apple Archipelago rerun in 2.8. This has led to speculation of Klee seeing a Rerun in 2.8.- [Confirmed] [UBatcha] One trusted source predicts Albedo will have a rerun in 2.3.
- [Confirmed] [TZTZ] Another trusted source claims that not only will Albedo have his rerun in 2.3, but he will also have a special event alongside him.
- [Confirmed] [TZTZ] A trusted source has leaked the details of a new double rerun banner system coming in 2.3.
- [Confirmed] [Ubatcha] Ubatcha has reported a private insider's prediction that Shenhe, Zhongli, Xiao, and Ganyu will all rerun during 2.4. This source does not indicate the order or manner in which they will be rerun. 12/11: The same sources have indicated Zhongli may not be rerunning. 12/27: Zhongli, Xiao, and Ganyu have been officially confirmed for reruns,
- [Confirmed] [XenoVX, secondhand] A source has reported a private insider's prediction that Ganyu and Xiao will be rerunning in 2.4. This report does not indicate the order or manner in which they will be rerun. It is worth mentioning that this report predicted Albedo + Eula double reruns long before the Character Event Wish-2 system was leaked by TZ.
- [Confirmed] [L] One trusted source speculates Xiao will have a rerun in 2.4. (Please note that this source is a beta tester who would not have concrete insight on future banners.)
- [Confirmed] [Datamined - GI Front] The 2.6 Floor 11 Spiral Abyss Buff gives [a 75% Anemo DMG Bonus.](https://twitter.com/SaveYourPrimos/status/1494357126164058112 // [Ubatcha] A trusted source claims Venti will make a story/event appearance in 2.6. // The previous two in combination lends support to the speculation of a Venti rerun in 2.6.--Dehya
- 5✰ Pyro Claymore, Tall Female.
- [Official] Confirmed for 3.5 release via pre-3.4 Drip Marketing.
- [Reliable - Uncle Lu] 09/02: Dehya's banner will be in 3.5.
- [Reliable - Uncle Lu] 07/29: Uncle Lu claims Dehya has always been 5✰ rarity.
- [Datamined] 07/06: Dehya "microwave" render.
- [Datamined] 07/05: Dehya turnaround sheet.
- [Reliable - HXG, Mero] 07/19: Dehya may actually be 5✰ rarity. Mero claims we will not see her "before 3.4." Whether this means she is releasing in 3.4 or later is unknown.
- [Debunked] [Reliable - HXG] 07/06: Confirmed as 4✰ rarity.
- [Datamined] 07/05: Data currently lists Deyha as a Claymore unit.
- [SYP] 06/14: Skin tone described as "more peach/tan-leaning."
- [SYP] 06/09: Appears to have cat ears (?).
- [Reliable - HXG] 06/09: Pyro Lady, Tall Female.Mika
- Cryo Polearm, Short Male.
- [Official] Confirmed for 3.5 release via pre-3.4 Drip Marketing.
- [Datamined - 4.0 Leak Flood] 10/23: Mika's banner will be in 3.5.
- [Reliable - Ubatcha] 10/22: Confirmed for 4☆ rarity.
- [Reliable - Ubatcha] 09/04: Mika is a Cryo Polearm. Rarity is currently unknown.
- [Reliable - Mero] 07/25: Mero has confirmed Mika will not be playable in 3.1, but we will meet him as an NPC.
- [Reliable - BLANK] 06/15: His name is Mika.
- [SYP] 07/14: We speculate we will meet him during 3.1, but he will not necessarily see a banner in the same patch.
- [SYP] 07/14: short male, mondstadt. droopy blue eyes. short messy blonde hair with a fringe the top like a baby bird. navy blue long-sleeved coat, off-white hoodie/shorts. tie like eula's, but short and pale yellow. feathery brooch on chest also like eula's. shy cartographer. possibly cryo.Yaoyao
- 4☆ Dendro Polearm, Female Child.
- [Reliable] 12/17: 3.4 First Half: Yaoyao Release.
- [Datamined - Blank] 10/23: Yaoyao is now a Dendro Polearm.
- [Reliable - Uncle Lu] 10/06: Yaoyao releases in 3.4.
- [Reliable - HXG] 07/10: Confirmed for 4☆ rarity.
- [Reliable - Mero] 07/03: Yaoyao is a Catalyst user.
- (Potentially Outdated) Originally datamined as a Catalyst user.
- (Potentially Outdated) Promotional Artwork + Model Front
- [Debunked] [Unverified - 15Points] A new unverified source has supported the longstanding theory that Chasm = Dendro release, claiming Baizhu and Yaoyao will be our guides to the Chasm, and that Yaoyao will be given for free after completing her Hangout Event.Alhaitham / هيثم / ("Su" Expy/Alter)
- 5✰ Dendro Sword, Tall Male.
- [Reliable] 12/16: 3.4 First Half: Alhaitham Release
- [Datamined - 4.0 Leak Flood] 10/23: Alhaitham's banner will be in 3.4. 11/08: Uncle Lu has further supported this claim.
- [Datamined] 07/06: Alhaitham "microwave" render.
- [Datamined] 07/05: Alhaitham turnaround sheet.
- [[Datamined](https://twitter.com/merlin_impact/stat
Archived Roadmap Speculation- 2.4 - Xiao (5✰) Rerun.Rationale: Xiao was released during Lantern Rite 2021, so he is widely speculated to have his first rerun Lantern Rite 2022. In addition, unlike other characters, Xiao's new lines About Shenhe are locked behind what is believed to be a quest requirement, leading to the speculation that Xiao is involved lore-wise to Shenhe's upcoming release.- 2.4/2.5 - Ganyu (5✰) Rerun.2.5 Rationale: Allegedly, Yae's release + Ganyu rerun were originally slated for 2.2, but they were pushed back for unknown reasons. If Yae is arriving in 2.5, there is a possibility Ganyu is still planned to rerun alongside her.2.4 Rationale: With the introduction of the dual rerun banner system, it is now possible for both Xiao and Ganyu to be rerun at the same time, which would roughly align with the timeline of their 2021 debuts.- Original 2.4 Prediction: Shenhe (5✰) + Yunjin (4✰) release. Xiao (5✰) rerun. Thoma (4✰) rate-up. Additional candidates: Ganyu, Zhongli, Kazuha, Ayaka
- Adjusted 2.4 Prediction: First half - Shenhe (5✰) + Yunjin (4✰) release; (possible) Zhongli (5✰) rerun. Second half - Xiao (5✰) + Ganyu (5✰) rerun. Thoma (4✰) rate-up. // Other: Free 4✰ Character via Event
- Official Announcement: First half - Shenhe (5✰) + Yunjin (4✰) // Xiao (5✰) rerun + Yunjin (4✰). Second half - Zhongli (5✰) rerun + Ganyu (5✰) rerun. // Other: Lantern Rite "Choose Your Own" Liyue 4✰ Character.2.4 is predicted to be Lantern Rite. A trusted source has claimed 2.4 will see Enkanomiya (Inazuma) and not Chasm (Liyue). With this information, it's reasonable to speculate that if we are getting reruns, they will either be one Liyue character and one Inazuma character, or two Liyue characters.2.4 marks two patches after Thoma's release, a rate-up pattern for all 4✰s to date. This pattern has been broken as of 2.3, as Sara did not appear on either banner. The pattern may no longer be being followed as of the implementation of the dual-rerun banner system.11/26: A trusted source reports a triple rerun of Ganyu/Xiao/Zhongli in addition to Shenhe's release in 2.4. 12/11: The same source reports plans to have Zhongli rerun may have now changed.Shenhe and Yun Jin have been datamined as the first 2.4 banner. The leaked Lantern Rite promotional artwork features Xiao and Ganyu. Chinese New Year 2022 begins February 1st, which would be the second half of 2.4.With this new information, we speculate Shenhe + Zhongli first half, Ganyu + Xiao second half. Thread here. 12/11: If Zhongli does not rerun, we speculate the same banner characters and order but without Zhongli.
SYP Speculative Roadmap v2.4
-This roadmap is speculative.
Click here for a non-speculative timeline.
Last Updated: October 7th, 2022-
Note: The following roadmap assumes no surprise and/or major adjustments to the existing banner/rerun system, as was seen in 2.3.Patch 3.1 - September 28th [1]
- Rerun possibilities: Eula [2] [Debunked]; Venti [3] [Speculation Confirmed]Patch 3.2 - November 2nd [1]
- Kusanali (5✰) release [4] [Speculation Confirmed]
- Layla (4✰) release [Leaked]
- Rerun possibilities: Childe; Yae; Yoimiya [5][6] [Speculation Confirmed]Patch 3.3 - December 7th [1]
- Scaramouche (5✰) release [7] [Speculation Confirmed]
- Faruzan (4✰) release [Leaked]
- Rerun possibilities: Albedo [2][8] [Debunked]; Raiden; Eula; Hu Tao; Ayaka; Ayato; other Inazuma characters possible [9 - 12]Patch 3.4 [Lantern Rite] - January 18th (estimated)
- Yaoyao (4✰) [Leaked]
- Rerun possibilities: Shenhe; Yelan; Hu Tao; Xiao [13 - 15]Patch 3.5 - March 1st (estimated)
- Dehya (5✰) release [Leaked]Patch 3.6 - April 12th (estimated)
- Baizhu (5✰) release [Leaked]Patch 3.7 - 3.8
- Alhaitham (5✰) release [16]Pending More Information
- Mika (4✰) release
- Kaveh (✰?) release [16]
- Dottore (5✰?) release
This timeline is speculative, based on public leaks and analyzing previous banner and event patterns. It should only be used as a guide, and will be updated as we learn new information. Rationale for all speculation is listed in detail at the bottom of this page:
https://saveyourprimos.carrd.co/#footnotesFor a timeline based on reliable leaks, please visit:
https://saveyourprimos.carrd.co/#upcoming本时间线为根据已有信息进行的推测，推测依据是所有已经公开的爆料和基于以前卡池及活动总结出来的规律。本时间线仅供参考，并且会随我们的情报更新。详细理由参看 https://saveyourprimos.carrd.co/#footnotes如需要仅根据可靠信息制作的时间线，请访问
https://saveyourprimos.carrd.co/#upcoming
Rationale Footnotes
[0] A "reasonable timeframe" is defined as the maximum number of days that have passed since a character's last rerun. Historically, this been 1 year (around 365 days) pre-delay, and around 400 days post-delay.[1] Officially announced. We correctly speculated both the adjustments and the corresponding dates in Roadmap 2.2.(SYP) [2] Debunked via official announcement. An Albedo rerun was officially announced for 3.1. We do not know whether or not this affects the speculation of Albedo having a returning event in December 2022. Though Albedo and Eula would both be due for reruns, we speculate Eula is more likely due to Albedo's events occurring in December.[9] In addition, Mika may be related to Eula somehow.(SYP leak) This speculation has been further supported with Eula playing "a big part" in the 3.1 Event Quest.(BLANK)[3] Confirmed via official announcement. "Wind and Wine" Mondstadt festival in 3.1.(Mero) Assuming Zhongli's rerun in 3.0,(Uncle Chasm) Kusanali's release in 3.2,[6] and Raiden's rerun during the 3.3/3.4 Inazuma event,[14] Venti rerunning during a Mondstadt Wine Festival is plausible. In addition, it would give all new players joining during 3.0 launch the chance to pull every Archon nearly one after the other.[4] Confirmed via Leaks. Kusanali will not have a banner in 3.1.(Upcoming) Assuming Nilou and Cyno release around the same time[2] and Scaramouche releases in 3.3,[8] Kusanali releasing in 3.2 makes more sense in the context of 3.2 being the climax/conclusion of Sumeru's story.[5] Confirmed via Leaks. Though Childe and Hu Tao would both need banners in 3.2/3.3 to rerun within a reasonable timeframe[0], due to Scaramouche's heavy story relevance,[9] we expect to see Childe rerun in 3.2. Due to quad banners in 3.0(Upcoming) and the possibility that quad banners will be the norm going forward, Hu Tao would also be a possibility. Speculation of a Childe rerun has been further supported with Childe being involved in a 3.2 Quest with Yoimiya.(Ubatcha)[6] Confirmed via Leaks. Childe, Yoimiya, and Yae all have event involvement in 3.2.(Ubatcha)[7] Now Confirmed via Leaks. In April, Uncle DD claimed that if Covid didn't affect production, the weekly boss in 3.1 would be Scaramouche.(Uncle DD) Considering the Patch 2.6/2.7 delay which followed, it is reasonable to speculate this event was pushed to 3.2. Though originally stated to be playable in 3.2 by Uncle DD,(Uncle DD) Mero has strongly implied that Scaramouche will be playable in a patch following his debut as a boss.(Mero)[8] Refer to Footnote [2]. The annual Dragonspine / Albedo Lore event has historically taken place in December.(Wiki - Patch 1.2; Wiki - Patch 2.3) With the 3.0 - 3.2 banner shortenings[1], Albedo could see a rerun in either 3.2 or 3.3. Due to multiple other reruns having a higher possibility in 3.2, we speculate Albedo will rerun in 3.3.[9] Both Eula and Hu Tao would need banners in 3.3 to rerun within a reasonable timeframe.[0] Hu Tao could theoretically be pushed to 3.4 Lantern Rite. However, Eula is a Mondstadt character, so if her rerun is not in 3.3 it would not be until 3.5, wherein she would be very overdue.[10] Inazuma event/festival in 3.3, in which Raiden may appear.(HXG 1; HXG 2) Assuming Zhongli's rerun in 3.0,(Uncle Chasm) Venti's rerun during the 3.1 Mondstadt event,[4] and Kusanali's release in 3.2,[6] Raiden rerunning during an Inazuma event is plausible. In addition, it would give all new players joining during 3.0 launch the chance to pull every Archon nearly one after the other.[11] Inazuma event/festival in 3.3, during which Ayaka receives a skin.(HXG 1; HXG 2; Mero 1) It is reasonable to speculate Ayaka will see a rerun along the release of her skin, as hers would be the first skin released for a limited 5✰ character--however, due to her heavily extended banner in 2.6, it is equally reasonable to speculate she will either not be rerun, or her skin and rerun may come at a later date.[12] Reruns of most other Inazuman characters are fair game. Raiden and Ayaka have entries above.[10][11] Aside from them, at this point in time, the longest time passed since last rerun for other Inazuman characters would be as follows:Ayato > Itto > Kazuha > Yoimiya > Yae[13] In 2023, Chinese New Year is on January 22nd, which would fall within Patch 3.4 after the adjusted patch dates.[1] Assuming Hu Tao does not rerun in 3.3.[11] Due to superstition regarding death-related motifs during Chinese New Year (previously acknowledged with Hu Tao's banner never occurring during the holiday), we would expect to see her banner during the second half of 3.4, which would not fall on the CNY holiday itself.[14] In 2023, Chinese New Year is on January 22nd, which would fall within Patch 3.4 after the adjusted patch dates.[1] Patch 3.4 would be the first anniversary of Shenhe's release.[15] In 2023, Chinese New Year is on January 22nd, which would fall within Patch 3.4 after the adjusted patch dates.[1] Though they both saw banners in 2.7, Xiao's banner is historically seen during Lantern Rite, while Yelan is a Liyue character who would not have yet received a rerun since her release.[16] Current data suggests 3.x reaches 3.8 before 4.0.[Misc - Ubatcha] Assuming no new double 5✰ patches as seen with Cyno/Nilou in 3.1, Alhaitham could be released in 3.7/3.8. It is also generally speculated that, due to the nature of their relationship in canon and the fact he is also Dendro, Kaveh will be a support unit for Alhaitham. However, there is currently no evidence for this.
Information archived from our Speculation page.
-Version 2.3
Last Updated: September 4th, 2022-
Note: The following roadmap assumes no surprise and/or major adjustments to the existing banner/rerun system, as was seen in 2.3.Patch 3.1 - September 28th [1]
- Cyno (5✰) release [2] [Speculation Confirmed]
- Nilou (5✰) release [2] [Speculation Confirmed]
- Candace (4✰) release [2] [Speculation Confirmed]
- Rerun possibilities: Eula; Venti, [3][4]Patch 3.2 - November 2nd [1]
- Kusanali (5✰) release [5] [Speculation Confirmed]
- Layla (4✰) release [Leaked]
- Rerun possibilities: Childe; Yae; Yoimiya; Hu Tao [6][7]Patch 3.3 - December 7th [1]
- Scaramouche (5✰) release [8] [Speculation Confirmed]
- Faruzan (4✰) release [9] [Leaked]
- Rerun possibilities: Albedo; Hu Tao; Raiden; Ayaka; other Inazuma characters [10 - 14]Patch 3.4 [Lantern Rite] - January 18th (estimated)
- Baizhu (5✰) release; Yaoyao (4✰) [15] [Speculation Partially Debunked]
- Rerun possibilities: Shenhe; Hu Tao; Yelan; Xiao [16 - 18]Patch 3.5 - March 1st (estimated)
- Dehya (5✰) release [Leaked]Pending More Information
- Alhaitham (5✰) release
- Mika (✰?) release; 3.1 cameo, but not playable [Mero]
- Dottore (5✰?) release
- Baizhu (5✰) release
- Yaoyao (4✰) release
Rationale Footnotes[0] A "reasonable timeframe" is defined as the maximum number of days that have passed since a character's last rerun. Historically, this been 1 year (around 365 days) pre-delay, and around 400 days post-delay.[1] Officially announced. We correctly speculated both the adjustments and the corresponding dates in Roadmap 2.2.(SYP) [2] Nilou, Cyno, and Candace have been confirmed for 3.1.(Upcoming) [3] "Wind and Wine" Mondstadt festival in 3.1.(Mero) Assuming Zhongli's rerun in 3.0,(Uncle Chasm) Kusanali's release in 3.2,[6] and Raiden's rerun during the 3.3/3.4 Inazuma event,[14] Venti rerunning during a Mondstadt Wine Festival is plausible. In addition, it would give all new players joining during 3.0 launch the chance to pull every Archon nearly one after the other.[4] Though Albedo and Eula would both be due for reruns, we speculate Eula is more likely due to Albedo's events occurring in December.[9] In addition, Mika may be related to Eula somehow.(SYP leak) This speculation has been further supported with Eula playing "a big part" in the 3.1 Event Quest.(BLANK)[5] Now Confirmed via Leaks. Kusanali will not have a banner in 3.1.(Upcoming) Assuming Nilou and Cyno release around the same time[2] and Scaramouche releases in 3.3,[8] Kusanali releasing in 3.2 makes more sense in the context of 3.2 being the climax/conclusion of Sumeru's story.[6] Though Childe and Hu Tao would both need banners in 3.2/3.3 to rerun within a reasonable timeframe[0], due to Scaramouche's heavy story relevance,[9] we expect to see Childe rerun in 3.2. Due to quad banners in 3.0(Upcoming) and the possibility that quad banners will be the norm going forward, Hu Tao would also be a possibility. Speculation of a Childe rerun has been further supported with Childe being involved in a 3.2 Quest with Yoimiya.(Ubatcha)[7] Childe, Yoimiya, and Yae all have event involvement in 3.2.(Ubatcha)[8] Now Confirmed via Leaks. In April, Uncle DD claimed that if Covid didn't affect production, the weekly boss in 3.1 would be Scaramouche.(Uncle DD) Considering the Patch 2.6/2.7 delay which followed, it is reasonable to speculate this event was pushed to 3.2. Though originally stated to be playable in 3.2 by Uncle DD,(Uncle DD) Mero has strongly implied that Scaramouche will be playable in a patch following his debut as a boss.(Mero)[9] Mero has claimed Faruzan will release at the same time as Scaramouche as a dedicated support for him.(Mero)[10] The annual Dragonspine / Albedo Lore event has historically taken place in December.(Wiki - Patch 1.2; Wiki - Patch 2.3) With the 3.0 - 3.2 banner shortenings[1], Albedo could see a rerun in either 3.2 or 3.3. Due to multiple other reruns having a higher possibility in 3.2, we speculate Albedo will rerun in 3.3.[11] Hu Tao would need a banner in 3.3 to rerun within a reasonable timeframe.[0] Due to superstition regarding death-related motifs during Chinese New Year (previously acknowledged with Hu Tao's banner never occurring during the holiday), we may see her rerun before the Lantern Rite patch.[12] Inazuma event/festival in 3.3, in which Raiden may appear.(HXG 1; HXG 2) Assuming Zhongli's rerun in 3.0,(Uncle Chasm) Venti's rerun during the 3.1 Mondstadt event,[4] and Kusanali's release in 3.2,[6] Raiden rerunning during an Inazuma event is plausible. In addition, it would give all new players joining during 3.0 launch the chance to pull every Archon nearly one after the other.[13] Inazuma event/festival in 3.3, during which Ayaka receives a skin.(HXG 1; HXG 2; Mero 1) It is reasonable to speculate Ayaka will see a rerun along the release of her skin, as hers would be the first skin released for a limited 5✰ character--however, due to her heavily extended banner in 2.6, it is equally reasonable to speculate she will not be rerun.[14] Reruns of most other Inazuman characters are fair game. Raiden and Ayaka have entries above.[12][13] At this point, longest since last rerun for other Inazuman characters would be as follows:Yae [7] > Ayato > Itto > Kazuha > Yoimiya [7][15] Debunked via Uncle Lu's Leak. According to Uncle Lu, 3.4 will have no new 5✰ characters. As Baizhu and Yaoyao have been speculated to be released close together thus far, we have also removed Yaoyao from the speculative timeline as she currently has no evidence of a pending release. She will be put back if we learn anything new.Historically, Chinese New Year has overlapped with the Lantern Rite patch. In 2023, Chinese New Year is on January 22nd, which would fall within Patch 3.4 if leaked adjustments to previous patches are true.[0] As highly anticipated Liyue Dendro units, Lantern Rite is reasonable speculation for Baizhu and Yaoyao's release.[16] In 2023, Chinese New Year is on January 22nd, which would fall within Patch 3.4 after the adjusted patch dates.[1] Assuming Hu Tao does not rerun in 3.3.[11] Due to superstition regarding death-related motifs during Chinese New Year (previously acknowledged with Hu Tao's banner never occurring during the holiday), we would expect to see her banner during the second half of 3.4, which would not fall on the CNY holiday itself.[17] In 2023, Chinese New Year is on January 22nd, which would fall within Patch 3.4 after the adjusted patch dates.[1] Patch 3.4 would be the first anniversary of Shenhe's release.[18] In 2023, Chinese New Year is on January 22nd, which would fall within Patch 3.4 after the adjusted patch dates.[1] Though they both saw banners in 2.7, Xiao's banner is historically seen during Lantern Rite, while Yelan is a Liyue character who would not have yet received a rerun since her release.
-Version 2.2.2
Last Updated: August 13th, 2022-
Note
The following roadmap assumes:
1) No surprise and/or major adjustments to the existing banner/rerun system, as seen in 2.3.Patch 3.1 - September 28th [1]
- Cyno (5✰) release [2]
- Nilou (5✰) release [2]
- Candace (4✰) release [2]
- Rerun candidates: Eula, Venti [3][4]Patch 3.2 - November 2nd [1]
- Kusanali (5✰) release [5]
- Rerun candidates: Childe, Hu Tao, Albedo [6][7]Patch 3.3 - December 7th [1]
- Scaramouche (5✰) release [8]
- Faruzan (4✰) release [9]
- Rerun candidates: Albedo, Hu Tao, Raiden, Ayaka, all other Inazuma characters aside from Kokomi [7][10][11][12][13]Patch 3.4 - January 18th (estimated)
- Baizhu (5✰) release [14]
- Yaoyao (4✰) release [14]
- Rerun candidates: Hu Tao, Shenhe, Xiao, Yelan [15][16][17][18]Pending More Information
- Dehya (5✰) release, Patch 3.4 or later(HXG)(Mero)(Uncle Lu)
- Alhaitham (5✰) release
- Layla (4✰?) release
- Mika (✰?) release, will make a cameo in 3.1 but not be on-banner(Mero)
- Dottore (5✰?) release
Rationale Footnotes[0] A "reasonable timeframe" is defined as the maximum number of days that have passed since a character's last rerun. Historically, this been 1 year (around 365 days) pre-delay, and around 400 days post-delay.[1] Officially announced. We correctly speculated both the adjustments and the corresponding dates in Roadmap 2.2.(SYP) [2] Nilou, Cyno, and Candace have been confirmed for 3.1.(HXG) [3] "Wind and Wine" Mondstadt festival in 3.1.(Mero) Assuming Zhongli's rerun in 3.0,(Uncle Chasm) Kusanali's release in 3.2,[6] and Raiden's rerun during the 3.3/3.4 Inazuma event,[14] Venti rerunning during a Mondstadt Wine Festival is plausible. In addition, it would give all new players joining during 3.0 launch the chance to pull every Archon nearly one after the other.[4] Albedo and Eula would both be due for reruns, but we speculate Eula is more likely than Albedo due to Albedo's events occurring in December.[9] In addition, Mika may be related to Eula somehow.(SYP leak)[5] Kusanali will not have a banner in 3.1.(Upcoming) Assuming Nilou and Cyno release around the same time[2] and Scaramouche releases in 3.3,[8] Kusanali releasing in 3.2 makes more sense in the context of 3.2 being the climax/conclusion of Sumeru's story.[6] Childe and Hu Tao would need banners in 3.2/3.3 to rerun within a reasonable timeframe.[0] Due to Scaramouche's heavy story relevance,[9] we expect to see Childe rerun in 3.2. Due to quad banners in 3.0(Upcoming) and the possibility that quad banners will be the norm going forward, Hu Tao would also be a possibility.[7] The annual Dragonspine / Albedo Lore event has historically taken place in December.(Wiki - Patch 1.2; Wiki - Patch 2.3) With the 3.0 - 3.2 banner shortenings[1], Albedo could see a rerun in either 3.2 or 3.3.[8] In April, Uncle DD claimed that if Covid didn't affect production, the weekly boss in 3.1 would be Scaramouche.(Uncle DD) Considering the Patch 2.6/2.7 delay which followed, it is reasonable to speculate this event was pushed to 3.2. Though originally stated to be playable in 3.2 by Uncle DD,(Uncle DD) Mero has strongly implied that Scaramouche will be playable in a patch following his debut as a boss.(Mero)[9] Mero has claimed Faruzan will release at the same time as Scaramouche as a dedicated support for him.(Mero)[10] Inazuma event/festival in 3.3/3.4, in which Raiden may appear.(HXG 1; HXG 2) Assuming Zhongli's rerun in 3.0,(Uncle Chasm) Venti's rerun during the 3.1 Mondstadt event,[4] and Kusanali's release in 3.2,[6] Raiden rerunning during an Inazuma event is plausible. In addition, it would give all new players joining during 3.0 launch the chance to pull every Archon nearly one after the other.[11] Inazuma event/festival in 3.3/3.4, during which Ayaka receives a skin.(HXG 1; HXG 2; Mero 1) It is reasonable to speculate Ayaka will see a rerun along the release of her skin, as hers would be the first skin released for a limited 5✰ character--however, due to her heavily extended banner in 2.6, it is equally reasonable to speculate she will not be rerun.[12] Hu Tao would need a banner in 3.2 or 3.3 to rerun within a reasonable timeframe.[0] Due to superstition regarding death-related motifs during Chinese New Year (previously acknowledged with Hu Tao's banner never occurring during the holiday), we may see her rerun before the Lantern Rite patch.[13] Reruns of all other Inazuman characters are fair game. Raiden and Ayaka have entries above.[10][11] At this point, longest since last rerun for other Inazuman characters would be as follows:Yae > Ayato > Itto > Kazuha > Yoimiya[14] Historically, Chinese New Year has overlapped with the Lantern Rite patch. In 2023, Chinese New Year is on January 22nd, which would fall within Patch 3.4 if leaked adjustments to previous patches are true.[0] As highly anticipated Liyue Dendro units, Lantern Rite is reasonable speculation for Baizhu and Yaoyao's release.[15] Assuming Hu Tao does not rerun in 3.2/3.3.[12] Due to superstition regarding death-related motifs during Chinese New Year (previously acknowledged with Hu Tao's banner never occurring during the holiday), we would expect to see her banner during the second half of 3.4, which would not fall on the CNY holiday itself.[16] Patch 3.4 would be the first anniversary of Shenhe's release.[17] Historically, Xiao's banner is seen during Lantern Rite. However, due to the fact he received a rerun in 2.7, it is equally reasonable to speculate he will not be rerun.[18] Though released in 2.7, Yelan is a Liyue character who would not have yet received a rerun since her release. A rerun during Lantern Rite is reasonable to speculate.
-Version 2.2
Last Updated: August 7th, 2022-
Note
The following roadmap assumes:
1) Adjustments to the 3.0 release timeline.[1]
2) No surprise and/or major adjustments to the existing banner/rerun system, as seen in 2.3.Patch 3.0 - August 24th (estimated, 5 week patch) [1]
Assuming the Zhongli (5✰), Ganyu (5✰), Kokomi (5✰) rerun leaks from Uncle Chasm are true.Patch 3.1 - September 28th (estimated, 5 week patch) [1]
- Cyno (5✰) release [2]
- Nilou (5✰) release [2]
- Candace (4✰) release [2]
- Rerun candidates: Eula, Venti [3][4]Patch 3.2 - November 2nd (estimated, 5 week patch) [1]
- Kusanali (5✰) release [5]
- Rerun candidates: Childe, Hu Tao, Albedo [6][7]Patch 3.3 - December 7th (estimated) [1]
- Scaramouche (5✰) release [8]
- Faruzan (4✰) release [9]
- Rerun candidates: Albedo, Hu Tao, Raiden, Ayaka, all other Inazuma characters aside from Kokomi [7][10][11][12][13]Patch 3.4 - January 18th (estimated) [1]
- Baizhu (5✰) release [14]
- Yaoyao (4✰) release [14]
- Rerun candidates: Hu Tao, Shenhe, Xiao, Yelan [15][16][17][18]Pending More Information
- Dehya (5✰) release, Patch 3.4 or later(HXG)(Mero)(Uncle Lu)
- Alhaitham (5✰) release
- Layla (4✰?) release
- Mika (4✰) release, will make a cameo in 3.1 but not be on-banner(Mero)
- Dottore (5✰?) release
Rationale Footnotes[0] A "reasonable timeframe" is defined as the maximum number of days that have passed since a character's last rerun. Historically, this been 1 year (around 365 days) pre-delay, and around 400 days post-delay.[1] 3.0 - 3.2 dates shortened by one week, 3.3+ dates adjusted. Speculation based on u/izzykuroneko's current Genshin Impact Version Update Dates of 2022. For several reasons, we strongly speculated one or more upcoming patches will be shortened to realign with original timelines before the 2.7 delay.(SYP Rumor) Uncle Chasm has since confirmed 3.0, 3.1, and 3.2 will each be shorted by one week.(Uncle Chasm)[2] Nilou, Cyno, and Candace have been confirmed for 3.1.(HXG) [3] "Wind and Wine" Mondstadt festival in 3.1.(Mero) Assuming Zhongli's rerun in 3.0,(Uncle Chasm) Kusanali's release in 3.2,[6] and Raiden's rerun during the 3.3/3.4 Inazuma event,[14] Venti rerunning during a Mondstadt Wine Festival is plausible. In addition, it would give all new players joining during 3.0 launch the chance to pull every Archon nearly one after the other.[4] Albedo and Eula would both be due for reruns, but we speculate Eula is more likely than Albedo due to Albedo's events occurring in December.[9] In addition, Mika may be related to Eula somehow.(SYP leak)[5] Kusanali will not have a banner in 3.1.(Upcoming) Assuming Nilou and Cyno release around the same time[2] and Scaramouche releases in 3.3,[8] Kusanali releasing in 3.2 makes more sense in the context of 3.2 being the climax/conclusion of Sumeru's story.[6] Childe and Hu Tao would need banners in 3.2/3.3 to rerun within a reasonable timeframe.[0] Due to Scaramouche's heavy story relevance,[9] we expect to see Childe rerun in 3.2. Due to quad banners in 3.0(Upcoming) and the possibility that quad banners will be the norm going forward, Hu Tao would also be a possibility.[7] The annual Dragonspine / Albedo Lore event has historically taken place in December.(Wiki - Patch 1.2; Wiki - Patch 2.3) With the 3.0 - 3.2 banner shortenings[1], Albedo could see a rerun in either 3.2 or 3.3.[8] In April, Uncle DD claimed that if Covid didn't affect production, the weekly boss in 3.1 would be Scaramouche.(Uncle DD) Considering the Patch 2.6/2.7 delay which followed, it is reasonable to speculate this event was pushed to 3.2. Though originally stated to be playable in 3.2 by Uncle DD,(Uncle DD) Mero has strongly implied that Scaramouche will be playable in a patch following his debut as a boss.(Mero)[9] Mero has claimed Faruzan will release at the same time as Scaramouche as a dedicated support for him.(Mero)[10] Inazuma event/festival in 3.3/3.4, in which Raiden may appear.(HXG 1; HXG 2) Assuming Zhongli's rerun in 3.0,(Uncle Chasm) Venti's rerun during the 3.1 Mondstadt event,[4] and Kusanali's release in 3.2,[6] Raiden rerunning during an Inazuma event is plausible. In addition, it would give all new players joining during 3.0 launch the chance to pull every Archon nearly one after the other.[11] Inazuma event/festival in 3.3/3.4, during which Ayaka receives a skin.(HXG 1; HXG 2; Mero 1) It is reasonable to speculate Ayaka will see a rerun along the release of her skin, as hers would be the first skin released for a limited 5✰ character--however, due to her heavily extended banner in 2.6, it is equally reasonable to speculate she will not be rerun.[12] Hu Tao would need a banner in 3.2 or 3.3 to rerun within a reasonable timeframe.[0] Due to superstition regarding death-related motifs during Chinese New Year (previously acknowledged with Hu Tao's banner never occurring during the holiday), we may see her rerun before the Lantern Rite patch.[13] Reruns of all other Inazuman characters are fair game. Raiden and Ayaka have entries above.[10][11] At this point, longest since last rerun for other Inazuman characters would be as follows:Yae > Ayato > Itto > Kazuha > Yoimiya[14] Historically, Chinese New Year has overlapped with the Lantern Rite patch. In 2023, Chinese New Year is on January 22nd, which would fall within Patch 3.4 if leaked adjustments to previous patches are true.[0] As highly anticipated Liyue Dendro units, Lantern Rite is reasonable speculation for Baizhu and Yaoyao's release.[15] Assuming Hu Tao does not rerun in 3.2/3.3.[12] Due to superstition regarding death-related motifs during Chinese New Year (previously acknowledged with Hu Tao's banner never occurring during the holiday), we would expect to see her banner during the second half of 3.4, which would not fall on the CNY holiday itself.[16] Patch 3.4 would be the first anniversary of Shenhe's release.[17] Historically, Xiao's banner is seen during Lantern Rite. However, due to the fact he received a rerun in 2.7, it is equally reasonable to speculate he will not be rerun.[18] Though released in 2.7, Yelan is a Liyue character who would not have yet received a rerun since her release. A rerun during Lantern Rite is reasonable to speculate.
-Version 2.1
Last Updated: July 19th, 2022-
Note
The following roadmap assumes:
1) Pending adjustments to the 3.0 release timeline.[1]
2) No surprise and/or major adjustments to the existing banner/rerun system, as seen in 2.3.Patch 3.0 - August 24th (est.) [1]
Assuming the Zhongli (5✰) and Ganyu (5✰) rerun leaks from Uncle Chasm are true.Patch 3.1 - October 5th (possible shift to earlier date) [1]
- Cyno (5✰) release [2]
- Nilou (5✰) release [2]
- Candace (4✰) release [2]
- Mika appearance (banner unknown) [3]
- Rerun candidates: Eula, Venti, Albedo [4][5]Patch 3.2 - November 16th (possible shift to earlier date) [1]
- Kusanali (5✰) release [6]
- Rerun candidates: Childe, Albedo [7][8]Patch 3.3 - December 28th (possible shift to earlier date) [1]
- Scaramouche (5✰) release [9]
- Faruzan (4✰) release [10]
- Rerun candidates: Raiden, Ayaka, Hu Tao, all other Inazuma characters [11][12][13][14]Patch 3.4 - February 8th (possible shift to earlier date) [1]
- Baizhu (5✰) release [15]
- Yaoyao (4✰) release [15]
- Rerun candidates: Hu Tao, Shenhe, Xiao [16][17][18]Pending More Information
- Dehya (4/5✰?) release, Patch 3.4 or later(HXG)(Mero)
- Alhaitham (5✰) release
- Layla (4✰?) release
- Mika (✰?) release
- Dottore (5✰?) release
Rationale Footnotes[0] A "reasonable timeframe" is defined as the maximum number of days that have passed since a character's last rerun. Historically, this been 1 year (around 365 days) pre-delay, and around 400 days post-delay.[1] Estimated patch dates from u/izzykuroneko's Genshin Impact Version Update Dates of 2022. For several reasons, we strongly speculate one or more upcoming patches will be shortened to realign with original timelines before the 2.7 delay.(SYP Rumor)[2] Nilou and Cyno are releasing around the same time.(Ubatcha) We also speculate this is when the remainder of the 3.0 Sumeru map (Desert portion) will be released, from where both Cyno and Candace originate.[3] "Wind and Wine" Mondstadt festival in 3.1.(Mero) Assuming Zhongli's rerun in 3.0,(Uncle Chasm) Kusanali's release in 3.2,[6] and Raiden's rerun during the 3.4 Inazuma event,[14] Venti rerunning during a Mondstadt Wine Festival is plausible. In addition, it would give all new players joining during 3.0 launch the chance to pull every Archon nearly one after the other.[4] "Wind and Wine" Mondstadt festival in 3.1.(Mero) We speculate Eula is more likely than Albedo due to Albedo's events occurring in December.[9] In addition, Mika may be related to Eula somehow.[3] + (SYP leak)[6] Assuming Nilou and Cyno release around the same time[2] and Scaramouche releases in 3.3,[9] Kusanali releasing in 3.2 makes more sense in the context of 3.2 being the climax/conclusion of Sumeru's story. However, we acknowledge this breaks the current pattern of Archons releasing on Patch x.1's.(SYP Sheet) Considering the Patch 2.6/2.7 delay, it is reasonable to speculate she was pushed to 3.2.[7] Childe would need a banner in 3.2 to rerun within a reasonable timeframe.[0] Due to Scaramouche's heavy story relevance,[9] we expect to see Childe's banner in the first half of 3.2.[8] Assuming Albedo does not rerun in 3.1.[5] As of Patch 3.2 start, Albedo would not have had a banner in 357 days. More importantly, the annual Dragonspine / Albedo Lore event has historically taken place in December.(Wiki - Patch 1.2; Wiki - Patch 2.3) Because of this, we expect to see an Albedo banner in the second half of 3.2.[9] In April, Uncle DD claimed that if Covid didn't affect production, the weekly boss in 3.1 would be Scaramouche.(Uncle DD) Considering the Patch 2.6/2.7 delay which followed, it is reasonable to speculate this event was pushed to 3.2. In addition, Childe also had a banner the same patch in which he was released as a boss.(Wiki - Patch 1.1) Though originally stated to be playable in 3.2 by Uncle DD,(Uncle DD) Mero has strongly implied that Scaramouche will be playable in a patch following his debut as a boss.(Mero)[10] Mero has claimed Faruzan will release at the same time as Scaramouche as a dedicated support for him.(Mero)[11] Inazuma event/festival in 3.3/3.4, in which Raiden may appear.(HXG 1; HXG 2) Assuming Zhongli's rerun in 3.0,(Uncle Chasm) Venti's rerun during the 3.1 Mondstadt event,[4] and Kusanali's release in 3.2,[6] Raiden rerunning during an Inazuma event is plausible. In addition, it would give all new players joining during 3.0 launch the chance to pull every Archon nearly one after the other.[12] Inazuma event/festival in 3.3/3.4, during which Ayaka receives a skin.(HXG 1; HXG 2; Mero 1) It is reasonable to speculate Ayaka will see a rerun along the release of her skin, as hers would be the first skin released for a limited 5✰ character.[13] Hu Tao would need a banner in 3.2 or 3.3 to rerun within a reasonable timeframe.[0] Due to superstition regarding death-related motifs during Chinese New Year (previously acknowledged with Hu Tao's banner never occurring during the holiday), we may see her rerun before the Lantern Rite patch.[14] Reruns of all other Inazuman characters are fair game. Raiden and Ayaka have entries above.[11][12] Longest since last rerun for other Inazuman characters would be as follows:
Yae > Kokomi > Ayato > Itto > Kazuha > Yoimiya[15] Historically, Chinese New Year has overlapped with the Lantern Rite patch. In 2023, Chinese New Year is on January 22nd, which would fall within Patch 3.3, but we strongly speculate there will be adjustments to previous patches[0] that will ultimately place 3.4 within this window. As highly anticipated Liyue Dendro units, Lantern Rite is reasonable speculation for Baizhu and Yaoyao's release.[16] Assuming Hu Tao does not rerun in 3.3.[13] Hu Tao would need a banner in 3.2 or 3.3 to rerun within a reasonable timeframe.[0] Due to superstition regarding death-related motifs during Chinese New Year (previously acknowledged with Hu Tao's banner never occurring during the holiday), we would expect to see her banner during whichever patch half does not fall on the CNY holiday itself.[17] Patch 3.3 would be the anniversary of Shenhe's first release.[18] Historically, Xiao's banner is seen during Lantern Rite.
-Version 2.0-
Note
The following roadmap assumes:
1) No further adjustments to the release calendar.
2) No surprise and/or major adjustments to the existing banner/rerun system, as seen in 2.3.Patch 3.0 - August 24th (est.) [1]
Assuming the Zhongli (5✰) and Ganyu (5✰) rerun leaks from Uncle Chasm are true.Patch 3.1 - October 5th (est.) [1]
- Cyno (5✰) release [2]
- Nilou (5✰) release [2]
- Candace (4✰) and/or Dehya (4✰) release [2]
- Mika appearance (banner unknown) [3]
- Rerun candidates: Eula, Venti, Albedo [4][5]Patch 3.2 - November 16th (est.) [1]
- Kusanali (5✰) release [6]
- Scaramouche (5✰) release [7]
- Rerun candidates: Childe, Albedo [8][9]Patch 3.3 - December 28th (est.) [1]
- Baizhu (5✰) release [10]
- Yaoyao (4✰) release [10]
- Rerun candidates: Hu Tao, Shenhe, Xiao [11][12][13]Patch 3.4 - February 8th (est.) [1]
- Rerun candidates: Raiden, Ayaka, all other Inazuma characters [14][15][16]Requires More Info
- Alhaitham (5✰) release
- Faruzan (4✰?) release
- Layla (4✰?) release
- Mika (✰?) release
- Dottore (5✰?) release
Rationale Footnotes[0] A "reasonable timeframe" is defined as the maximum number of days that have passed since a character's last rerun. Historically, this been 1 year (around 365 days) pre-delay, and around 400 days post-delay.[1] Estimated patch dates from u/izzykuroneko's Genshin Impact Version Update Dates of 2022.[2] Nilou and Cyno are releasing around the same time.(Ubatcha) We also speculate this is when the remainder of the 3.0 Sumeru map (Desert portion) will be released, from where both Cyno and Candace originate. Alternatively, we would have already met Dehya during 3.0, so Dehya may release instead of or in addition to Candace.[3] Mika will appear during 3.1's Mondstadt Festival.(BLANK 1; BLANK 2) Due to the suspicious lack of playability information, we cannot yet speculate whether or not Mika will actually be released at the same time.[4] "Wind and Wine" Mondstadt festival in 3.1.(Mero) As of Patch 3.1 start, Venti would not have had a banner in 189 days. Assuming Zhongli's rerun in 3.0,(Uncle Chasm) Kusanali's release in 3.2,[6] and Raiden's rerun during the 3.4 Inazuma event,[14] Venti rerunning during a Mondstadt Wine Festival is plausible. In addition, it would give all new players joining during 3.0 launch the chance to pull every Archon nearly one after the other.[5] "Wind and Wine" Mondstadt festival in 3.1.(Mero) As of Patch 3.1 start, Albedo and Eula would not have had a banner in 315 days. We speculate Eula is more likely than Albedo due to Albedo's events occurring in December.[9] In addition, Mika may be related to Eula somehow.[3] + (SYP leak)[6] Assuming Nilou and Cyno release around the same time[2] and Scaramouche releases in 3.2,[7] Kusanali releasing in 3.2 makes more sense in the context of 3.2 being the climax/conclusion of Sumeru's story. However, we acknowledge this breaks the current pattern of Archons releasing on Patch x.1's.(SYP Sheet) Considering the Patch 2.6/2.7 delay, it is reasonable to speculate she was pushed to 3.2.[7] Scaramouche will be playable in 3.2.(Uncle DD) In April, Uncle DD claimed that if Covid didn't affect production, the weekly boss in 3.1 would be Scaramouche.(Uncle DD) Considering the Patch 2.6/2.7 delay which followed, it is reasonable to speculate this event was pushed to 3.2. In addition, Childe also had a banner the same patch in which he was released as a boss.(Wiki - Patch 1.1)[8] As of Patch 3.2 start, Childe would not have had a banner in 399 days, and would need one in 3.2 to rerun within a reasonable timeframe.[0] Due to Scaramouche's heavy story relevance,[7] we expect to see Childe's banner in the first half of 3.2.[9] Assuming Albedo does not rerun in 3.1.[5] As of Patch 3.2 start, Albedo would not have had a banner in 357 days. More importantly, the annual Dragonspine / Albedo Lore event has historically taken place in December.(Wiki - Patch 1.2; Wiki - Patch 2.3) Because of this, we expect to see an Albedo banner in the second half of 3.2.[10] Historically, Chinese New Year has overlapped with the Lantern Rite patch. In 2023, Chinese New Year is on January 22nd, which would fall within Patch 3.3. As highly anticipated Liyue Dendro units, Lantern Rite is reasonable speculation for Baizhu and Yaoyao's release.[11] As of Patch 3.3 start, Hu Tao would not have had a banner in 421 days, and would need one in order to rerun within a reasonable timeframe.[0] Due to superstition regarding death-related motifs during Chinese New Year (previously acknowledged with Hu Tao's banner never occurring during the holiday), we would expect to see her in the first half, prior to CNY celebrations the week of January 22nd.[12] As of Patch 3.3 start, Shenhe would not have had a banner in 357 days. Patch 3.3 would be the anniversary of her first release.[12] As of Patch 3.3 start, Xiao would not have had a banner in 211 days. Historically, his banner is seen during Lantern Rite.[14] Inazuma event/festival in 3.3/3.4, in which Raiden may appear.(HXG 1; HXG 2) As of Patch 3.4 start, Raiden would not have had a banner in 337 days. Assuming Zhongli's rerun in 3.0,(Uncle Chasm) Venti's rerun during the 3.1 Mondstadt event,[4] and Kusanali's release in 3.2,[6] Raiden rerunning during an Inazuma event is plausible. In addition, it would give all new players joining during 3.0 launch the chance to pull every Archon nearly one after the other.[15] Inazuma event/festival in 3.3/3.4, during which Ayaka receives a skin.(HXG 1; HXG 2; Mero 1) As of Patch 3.4 start, Ayaka would not have had a banner in 295 days. It is reasonable to speculate Ayaka will see a rerun along the release of her skin, as hers would be the first skin released for a limited 5✰ character.[16] Reruns of all other Inazuman characters are fair game. Raiden and Ayaka have entries above.[14][15] As of Patch 3.4 start, days since last rerun for other Inazuman characters would be as follows:
Yae (357) > Kokomi (337) > Ayato (315) > Itto (232) > Kazuha (211) > Yoimiya (190)
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